I stopped into the sales office of Riverside Homes in the subdivision being built across from Brown MS, currently in the IH boundary.
Summary
Planned size of the subdivision: 75 homes over 2 years,
Sold so far: 17 homes since April (recently had first move-in)
Occupancy by fall '08: ~35 homes
Occupancy by fall '09: 75 homes
She said that sales have been strong because they are on the higher end of the market and are seeing a lot of folks interested in upgrading from within the IH boundary because they don't want to change schools and there is very little high end housing in the neighborhood.
She expressed a preference to remain in the IH boundary since the school is very close and has been a selling point.
Update
Based on the PSU enrollment forecast study on the HSD website (here), table 8 shows that for new large lot (>3250 sq ft lot size) detached single family homes built recently (data based on 2003 build date) Student Generation Rate (SGR) for K-6 is 0.362.
The home count multiplied by SGR (75 x 0.362) shows the subdivision would likely add 26 students to IH boundary upon full occupancy, one full class added by 2009 school year.
Currently, plan #5 proposes to add 112 students to IH (not counting Kinders). Based on a class size of 26, that is an addition of 4.3 classes to IH fall 2008. Add in the expected 35 homes of this subdivision, it would be 4.8 classes.
With plan #5 add combined with subdivision growth, IH would be pushed to well over 5 total classes added by start of school 2009. Add in uncounted Kinders from plan #5 add and it is higher.
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2 comments:
Just me again. Right now I am also feeling that nobody wants my community to go to their school. The district seems to have decided that they won't allow us to stay at Ladd. And we're bouncing between Indian Hills and Tobias.
kg,
Speaking for my family, we would love to have you at Indian Hills if the district can work out the numbers (and it doesn't cause our family to be displaced). It will be nice to have a full school.
Also, keep in mind that nobody from Tobias has expressed objections about you joining the school.
Bottom line, it doesn't make sense to push you out of the frying pan into the fire. My last calculation was that plan #5 would amount to 6 classes added to IH by 2009 which has 4 classrooms available (one is a portable). I will post more on the calculation soon.
Something has to give, between you and the families east of 198th or at Ladd.
That doesn't mean you are unwanted.
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